Contemporary structural models of the global market for crude oil treat storage demand as a composite of precautionary responses to uncertainty and speculative behavior, due to difficulties in jointly identifying these distinct demand components. This difficulty arises because the underlying...

We investigate the persistence of real exchange rates using Bayesian methods. First, an algorithm for Bayesian estimation of nonlinear threshold models is developed. Unlike standard grid-based estimation, the Bayesian approach fully captures joint parameter uncertainty and uncertainty about...

Kamber et al (2020) investigate possible changes in the driving forces of inflation for a panel of 47 advanced and emerging market economies over a sample period from 1996 to 2018. Overall, the results support an open economy hybrid Phillips curve model of inflation with increased weight on...