The debate on the risks and benefits of the globalisation of international capital markets has focused on the volume and the volatility of the main capital flows ? foreign direct investment (FDI), portfolio investment, and foreign bank lending. Financial transfers in the form of worker...

We examine the predictive value of expected skewness of oil returns for the realized volatility using monthly data from 1859:11 to 2023:04. We utilize a quantile predictive regression model, which is able to accommodate nonlinearity and structural breaks. In-sample results show that the...