1. Sea change in the west -- 2. Global theories of secular stagnation -- 3. Transition theory -- 4. Empirical aspects of the transition theory -- 5. The long wave hypothesis -- 6. Transition in the nineteenth century : the British climateric 1860-1900 -- 7. A re-run of the 1970s -- 8. The...

This paper tests the visa-led tourism hypothesis (VTH) which contends that easing of visa restrictions increases international tourism. Israel acts as a natural laboratory in this case with clear before and after junctures in visa restrictions. We use panel data on tourism to Israel from 60...