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mainly the imposition of a highly unrealistic prior for the global impact price elasticity of oil supply. Once identification … uncertainty about the global price elasticity of oil supply is accounted for by specifying a prior more in line with extraneous …
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/1991, speculative demand shocks also played a role. Third, it is shown that temporary oil price hikes influence economic decisions that … demand shocks can emerge that to date appear to have been overlooked. …
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