This paper examines the quarter-ahead out-of-sample predictability of Brazil, Mexico, the Philippines and Turkey credit spreads before and after the Lehman Brothers' default. A model based on the country-specific credit spread curve factors predicts no better than the random walk and slope...

This paper examines the combined role of momentum and term structure signals for the design of profitable trading strategies in commodity futures markets. With significant annualized alphas of 10.14% and 12.66% respectively, the momentum and term structure strategies appear profitable when...

The current study investigates the time-varying interest rate exposure of financial intermediaries (bank/insurance) across four major markets (i.e. U.S., UK, Japan and Europe) from October 2002 to December 2012. We use the two-factor term structure model to measure the changes in the level and...