Showing 1 - 10 of 15,567
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011738502
This paper provides empirical evidence that volatility markets are integrated through the time-varying term structure … of variance risk premia. These risk premia predict the returns from selling volatility for different horizons, maturities …, and products, including variance swaps, straddles, and VIX futures. In addition, the paper derives a closed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904683
We infer conditional swap rate moments model independently from swaption cubes. Conditional volatility and skewness … skewness sometimes changing sign. Conditional skewness displays some relation to the level and volatility of swap rates but is … exhibit systematic variation across swap maturities and option expiries (conditional kurtosis less so), with conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008774
The zero-coupon yield curve is a common input for most financial purposes. The authors consider three popular yield curve datasets, and explore the extent to which the decision as to what dataset to use for an application may have implications on the results. The paper illustrates why such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011901875
We study the term structure of variance swaps, equity and variance risk premia. A model-free analysis reveals a … significant price jump component in variance swap rates. A model-based analysis shows that investors' willingness to ensure … against volatility risk increases after a market drop. This effect is stronger for short horizons and more persistent for long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899885
information, predicting the excess returns of S&P 500 variance swaps, VIX futures, and S&P 500 straddles for all maturities and to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937549
This paper employs a Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) consistent shadow-rate model to decompose UK nominal yields into expectation and term premia components. Compared to a standard affine term structure model, it performs relatively better in a ZLB setting and effectively captures the countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339919
With nominal interest rates currently at or near their zero lower bound (ZLB) in many major economies, it has become untenable to apply Gaussian affine term structure models (GATSMs) while ignoring their inherent non-zero probabilities of negative interest rates. In this article I modify GATSMs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119091
demonstrate the salient features of the ZLB-GATSM framework using a two-factor model. An illustrative estimation with U.S. term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101261
I propose a simple framework that quantifies the stance of monetary policy as a 'shadow short rate' when the term structure is near the zero lower bound. I demonstrate my framework with a one-factor model applied to Japanese data, including an intuitive economic interpretation of the results,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103621