United States Treasury securities are traditionally viewed in academics and practice as being free of default risk. In principle, nominal outstanding Treasury debt can always be repaid by issuing fiat currency. The same does not hold true, however, for inflation-indexed debt. This leads the...

Macro news have large impact on bond yields in high-frequency data. We aggregate the impact of macro news within each month, which we use in a no-arbitrage term structure models. We find that macro news explain 50 percent in the term premium of the 10-year bond at the monthly frequency and 40...

We build an Affine Term Structure Model that provides non-negative yields at any maturity and that is able to accommodate a short-term rate that stays at the zero lower bound (ZLB) for extended periods of time while longer-term rates feature high volatilities. We introduce these features through...

In this paper, we propose a quadratic term-structure model of the EURIBOR-OIS spreads. As opposed to OIS, EURIBOR rates incorporate credit and liquidity risks. Indeed, a bank that lends on the unsecured market requires compensations for facing (a) the risk of default of the borrowing bank and...