Showing 1 - 10 of 15,575
This paper analyses the determinants of inflation differentials and price levels across the euro area countries …. Dynamic panel estimations for the period 1999-2006 show that inflation differentials are primarily determined by cyclical … positions and inflation persistence. The persistence in inflation differentials appears to be partly explained by administered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969278
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135613
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135685
This paper develops a small open economy model to investigate the impact of rising sovereign bond market spreads on the real economy. One key element of the model is a “sovereign risk channel” through which tensions in the sovereign bond market tend to spill over into private credit markets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985874
The estimation of dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) turns out to be challenging in the presence of a small sample. It is exacerbated if the sample is characterized by a prolonged period of low interest rates near a time-varying effective lower bound. These challenges all weigh heavily when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888340
recessions in the Eurozone from the 1990s to the recent past. Credit default swap (CDS) data on sovereign bonds, which provide a … using the commonly employed yield spread remains high, provided that biases associated with Eurozone sovereign default risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010419649
The estimation of dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) turns out to be challenging in the presence of a small sample. It is exacerbated if the sample is characterized by a prolonged period of low interest rates near a time-varying effective lower bound. These challenges all weigh heavily when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898391
The estimation of dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) turns out to be challenging in the presence of a small sample. It is exacerbated if the sample is characterized by a prolonged period of low interest rates near a time-varying effective lower bound. These challenges all weigh heavily when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923592
Since the creation of the euro area significant interest rate spreads have arisen between Euro area countries, both for public and private debt. We check whether these spreads could be made to work towards the goal of providing more stability to the Euro area. In particular we focus on reducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017357
, premium components are less reactive to a typical 10 bp increase in inflation, while real rate responses change their sign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299079