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It is shown how to construct an arbitrage-free short rate model under uncertainty about the drift and the volatility. The uncertainty is represented by a set of priors, which naturally leads to a G-Brownian motion. Within this framework, it is shown how to characterize the whole term structure...
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as they allow to substantially increase risk aversion, and consequently generate non-trivial risk premia, without … considered. The level and the dynamic pattern of risk premia are also markedly altered. We show that the effect of Epstein …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142873
they allow to substantially increase risk aversion, and consequently generate non-trivial risk premia, without compromising … considered. The level and the dynamic pattern of risk premia are also markedly altered. We show that the effect of Epstein …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973549
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funds futures data. The uncertainty is highest when it signals a loosening cycle. The uncertainty raises the risk premium in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011576374
macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the … estimating risk premia and highlights the proliferation of risk pricing factors that result in a wide range of different asset …-price-based expectation measures. It then describes a key methodological innovation to evaluate the empirical plausibility of risk premium …
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