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The demographic transition is a phenomenon affecting many industrialized societies. These economies are experiencing a decline in mortality alongside low fertility rates - a situation that puts social security systems under severe pressure. To implement appropriate reform measures, adequate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599101
Population forecasts are crucial for many social, political and economic decisions. Official population projections rely in general on deterministic models which use different scenarios for future vital rates to indicate uncertainty. However, this technique shows substantial weak points such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966275
Population forecasts are crucial for many social, political and economic decisions. Official population projections rely in general on deterministic models which use different scenarios for future vital rates to indicate uncertainty. However, this technique shows substantial weak points such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003814452
, larger budget deficits jspell higher interest rates, as posited by conventional macroeconomic theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010128015
The question of fiscal sustainability of countries has become one of the central topics in economic policy, especially in times of increasing public debts. One way to assess fiscal sustainability is to examine compliance with the intertemporal budget constraint, which involves testing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015130392
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610521
This paper reviews the current discussions, methods, and practices surrounding the estimation of reasonable proxies for the underlying fiscal position, a useful anchor for fiscal policy. An empirical application to developing Asian economies is carried out. There is no one-size fits all type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014507176
Industrialised economies are experiencing a decline in mortality alongside low fertility rates - a situation that puts social security systems under severe pressure. Population ageing is associated not only with longer periods of pension claims but also smaller cohorts eventually entering the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186784
general class of elliptical distributions, we develop an asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood estimation and statistical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157004