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-proof approach as much as possible, and emphasizes the practical application of econometrics. They show with examples how to … step fashion, using the popular Stata software system. Students then test for stationarity, while replicating the actual … find the book useful. “How to best start learning time series econometrics? Learning by doing. This is the ethos of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014443465
1. Introduction 2 -- Start using Gretl and R 3 -- Basic Material 4 -- Hypothesis testing 5 -- Simple linear regression … 6 -- Multiple regression 7 -- Regression using dummy variables 8 -- Non linear models 9 -- Time series analysis 10 …This accessible textbook introduces the foundations of applied econometrics and statistics for undergraduate students …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014519030
Applying a probabilistic causal approach, we define a class of time series causal models (TSCM) based on stationary Bayesian networks. A TSCM can be seen as a structural VAR identified by the causal relations among the variables. We classify TSCMs into observationally equivalent classes by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295294
This work explores some distributional properties of aggregate output growth-rate time series. We show that, in the majority of OECD countries, output growth-rate distributions are well-approximated by symmetric exponential-power densities with tails much fatter than those of a Gaussian. Fat...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328447
We review and construct consistent in-sample specification and out-of-sample model selection tests on conditional distributions and predictive densities associated with continuous multifactor (possibly with jumps) and (non)linear discrete models of the short term interest rate. The results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282832
This report examines whether Google search queries can be used to predict the present and the near future house prices in Finland. Compared to a simple benchmark model, Google searches improve the prediction of the present house price index by 7.5 % measured by mean absolute error. In addition,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037683
Doğrusal olmayan yapıdaki iktisadi değişkenler uzun yıllar doğrusal modeller araçları ile analiz edilmiş bu nedenle de gerçek hayatı açıklamada yetersiz kalmıştır. Son dönemde yapılan çalışmalar sonucunda doğrusal olmayan zaman serileri analizlerinin özellikle makro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320575
Several economic data series of Liechtenstein are backwardly estimated in order to achieve consistent historic time series. The generated series consist for instance of the national income for the years 1954 to 1992 (by regressive inter- and retropolation with indicators) and 1993 to 1997 (by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368149
A distance between pairs of sets of autoregressive moving average (ARMA) processes is proposed. Its main properties are discussed. The paper also shows how the proposed distance finds application in time series analysis. In particular it can be used to evaluate the distance between portfolios of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506519
Although a large number of recent studies employ the buy-and-hold abnormal return (BHAR) methodology and the calendar time portfolio approach to investigate the long-run anomalies, each of the methods is a subject to criticisms. In this paper, we show that a recently introduced calendar time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449859