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Under near-singularity conditions typically generated by persistence in current account data the predictions of present value models become extremely sensitive to small sample estimation error. Moreover, traditional Wald tests will distort the likelihood that the model is true. Using OECD data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783079
This study strengthens the frontiers of research on the drivers of dollarization in emerging economies by exploring the case of Ghana using the autoregressive distributed lag modelling framework. The data for the study spanned from January 2002 to March 2016. The evidence suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232353
exchange rate in a logarithm, while in the second phase, the cointegration of nominal exchange rate, domestic and foreign price … authors' knowledge, and taking into account Liu (1992), who states that it is more important to check the presence of co-integration … results suggest that all the real exchange rate time series are stationary, additionally, cointegration exists among all the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887177
I study the determinants of capital flows to Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, assessing the relative importance of domestic and global factors. I estimate six VECM models, one for each Latin American country plus the Euro Area, Japan, and USA, and then embed them in a multi-country Global VAR. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728441
long-term dynamics are empirically investigated using the Johansen cointegration test. Econometric analysis is also … cointegration analysis suggest that current account income and expenses are integrated with the cointegrating coefficient less than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293106
test PPP using Johansen's (1988) multivariate cointegration technique. The cointegration tests are conducted with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071881
roots and are highly persistent. The fractional bivariate cointegration tests (see Marinucci and Robinson, 2001) suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011859481
This paper investigates the stationarity of East Asian currencies by using a unit root test and cointegration test. We … over the short term by carrying out a unit root test and assess whether cointegration relationships exist over the long … term by carrying out a cointegration test. Based on an empirical analysis of 502 combinations, we find that only one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077639
employing Fourier unit root tests and a nonparametric rank test for cointegration. Data comprises monthly data on the three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014514550
This paper discusses a number of likelihood ratio tests on long-run relations and common trends in the I(2) model and provide new results on the test of overidentifying restrictions on beta xt and the asymptotic variance for the stochastic trends parameters, alpha 1: How to specify deterministic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217147