This study evaluates a single bubble episode in the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) by utilizing monthly data on nominal and real all-share index (ASI) from January 2010 to December 2017. Analysis of data based on Sup Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SADF) test for bubble detection suggests non-existence...

This study tests for a break in the persistence of EMU government bond yield spreads examining data from France, Italy and Spain and using German interest rates as a kind of benchmark. The results reported here provide evidence for breaks between 2006 and 2008. The persistence of the yield...

We propose a family of self-normalized CUSUM tests for structural change under long memory. The test statistics apply non-parametric kernel-based fixed-b and fixed-m long-run variance estimators and have well-defined limiting distributions that only depend on the long-memory parameter. A Monte...

Two of the most important stylized facts well-known in finance relate to the non-Gaussian distribution and to the volatility clustering of stock returns. In this paper, we show that a new class of stochastic processes – called Multifractional Processes with Random Exponent (MPRE) – can...

It is well known that intraday volatilities and trading volumes exhibit strong seasonal features. These seasonalities are usually modeled using dummy variables or deterministic functions. Here, we propose a test for seasonal long memory with a known frequency. Using this test, we show that...

In this paper a new GARCH–M type model, denoted the GARCH-AR, is proposed. In particular, it is shown that it is possible to generate a volatility-return trade-off in a regression model simply by introducing dynamics in the standardized disturbance process. Importantly, the volatility in the...

The predictability of long-term asset returns increases with the time horizon as estimated in regressions of aggregated-forward returns on aggregated-backward predictive variables. This previously established evidence is consistent with the presence of common slow-moving components that are...

It is well known that standard tests for a mean shift are invalid in long-range dependent time series. Therefore, several long memory robust extensions of standard testing principles for a change-in-mean have been proposed in the literature. These can be divided into two groups: those that...

We propose a simple test on structural change in long-range dependent time series. It is based on the idea that the test statistic of the standard CUSUM test retains its asymptotic distribution if it is applied to fractionally differenced data. We prove that our approach is asymptotically valid...