Showing 1 - 10 of 2,033
We develop Bayesian techniques for estimation and model comparison in a novel Generalised Stochastic Unit Root (GSTUR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270805
The ratio of consumption to total household wealth (i.e., tangible assets plus unobserved human wealth) is commonly calculated from the estimation of a log-linear version of the household intertemporal budget constraint as a cointegrating relationship between consumption, assets and earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011844588
This paper investigates the merger wave hypothesis for the US and the UK employing a Markov regime switching model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315576
variables to include in the model in addition to the forecast variables. The key difference from traditional Bayesian variable … problem to tackle with a traditional Bayesian approach. Our solution is to focus on the forecasting performance for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320769
We present a comprehensive framework for Bayesian estimation of structural nonlinear dynamic economic models on sparse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263720
Bivariate time series data often show strong relationships between the two components, while both individual variables can be approximated by random walks in the short run and are obviously bounded in the long run. Three model classes are considered for a time-series model selection problem:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292780
-1980s. Using Bayesian methods, we analyze whether a volatility reduction can also be detected for the German GDP. Since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296255
using Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. …A Bayesian model averaging procedure is presented that makes use of a finite mixture of many model structures within …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325721
macroeconomic time series. The coincident economic indicator is based on a multivariate trend-cycle decomposition model that … account for all the heteroskedasticity present in the data. The empirical results are based on a Bayesian analysis and show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325871
This paper develops a Markov-Switching vector autoregressive model that allows for imperfect synchronization of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325961