Bondt, Gabe J. de; Vermeulen, Philip - 2018
We estimate business cycle regime switching logit models for G7 countries to determine the effect of duration of the … falls into a recession. We also find that expansions in the US and Germany are duration dependent, i.e. are more likely to … end as they grow older. This contrasts with other G7 countries where expansions are not duration dependent. With respect …