We estimate the natural rate of interest for the US and the euro area in a semi-structural model comprising a Taylor rule. Our estimates feature key elements of Laubach and Williams (2003), but are more consistent with using conventional policy rules: we model inflation to be stationary, with...

This study empirically investigates how shocks to monetary policy measures (short-term nominal interest rate and broad money supply) affect economic aggregates: output growth, price levels and nominal exchange rate. The study is carried out for Pakistan using quarterly data covering the period...

This paper applies a local linear level model to European yields using the state space methodology to structural equation models in order to obtain an unobserved state vector containing the level, slope and seasonal component of the yields. In addition, this has been performed by differentiating...

Money demand in Venezuela is modeled using structural time series and error correction approaches, for the period 1993.1 to 2001.4. The preferred model features seasonal cointegration and was estimated following a structural time series approach. There are similarities in the long-run behavior...

The study aims to examine the relationships between variables from different perspectives by using Turkey's Real exchange rate (TL/USD), Real interest rate and Consumer price index data. Data from 2012M7 to 2021M12 were used in the study. In order to examine the relationships between the...

In this article, we analyze the US short term real interest rate series for the last five decades in the framework of a M-SETAR model (Momentum - Self Exciting Threshold Auto-Regressive). With the aim of disentangling the non-linearity from the non-stationarity cases, we use threshold...