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experiences of the U.S. and the Eurozone. There are important differences between these three economies and some striking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012816140
the European Central Bank (ECB) on the inflation rate and GDP growth rate within the euro area, motivated by the … study revealed significant impacts of UMPTs, particularly in combination with interest rates, on inflation rates. However … of UMPTs in influencing inflation rates, aiding in informed decision-making in monetary policy formulation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015415888
On 1 June 2018 the ECB celebrated its 20th anniversary. This paper provides a comprehensive view of the ECB's monetary policy over these two decades. The first section provides a chronological account of the macroeconomic and monetary policy developments in the euro area since the adoption of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959260
Central bank announcements move financial markets. The response of inflation and growth expectations, on the other hand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011972952
Central bank announcements have strong effects on interest rates, but small or even counterintuitive effects on economic expectations. Based on tick-by-tick futures prices on bonds and stock prices, I confirm these seemingly puzzling results for the euro area and provide evidence that they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265893
This paper studies the spillover effects of the ECB's monetary policies on non-euro area countries over the period 2004-2016, using a GVAR methodology, applied to a large sample of countries and an ample set of variables. Monetary policies are proxied by short-term interest rates and the Wu and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865371
five years, where the euro area has, following a period of low inflation, navigated a global pandemic, Russia's invasion of … Ukraine and an unprecedented surge in inflation. The survey has evolved over time and provides not only a long time series of …. We show that, for each of the three main macroeconomic variables forecast - HICP inflation, real GDP growth and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015156735
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212851
In this paper we use a unique dataset to study how awareness of the formulation of the ECB’s inflation aim, defined as … "below, but close to, 2%", shapes the inflation expectations of a representative set of Italian firms. In particular, we show … that in the period under consideration such awareness raises firms’ inflation expectations by about 25 basis points at all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218617
Part of the present inflation is caused by the breakdown of globalization, in particular supply chains, part is caused … the past and in the presence. This paper attributes inflation decisively to the overwhelming money creation by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553631