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Entgegen früherer Studien, die darauf hinweisen, dass der gesamte Credit Spread eines Bonds durchdas mit diesem Bond verbundene Kreditrisiko induziert ist, zeigen neuere empirische Untersuchungen,dass neben Kreditrisiken noch weitere Faktoren die Höhe des Credit Spreads determinieren.Die...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009418817
We analyze the term structure of illiquidity premiums as the difference between the yield curves of two major bond segments that are both government guaranteed but differ in their liquidity. We show that its characteristics strongly depend on the economic situation. In crisis times, illiquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310876
How should one evaluate investment projects whose CCAPM betas are uncertain? This question is particularly crucial for projects yielding long-lasting impacts on the economy, as is the case for example for many green investments. We define the notion of a certainty equivalent beta. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291514
Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about which discount rates should be used to evaluate actions having long-lasting impacts, as in the contexts of climate change, social security reforms or large public infrastructures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291529
A mark-to-market approach for convertible bonds is proposed where the volatility from the bond optionality is implied from the traded credit spread and bond price. By linking the convertible bond implied volatility to the listed equity option implied volatility surface, the set of available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250290
Using monthly returns to estimate portfolio alphas and betas is inappropriate for investors with longer horizons. Alphas and betas have flat term structures only under special conditions that do not hold generally. The paper develops a novel conditional moment estimation method that is simple,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004579
We solve a dynamic general equilibrium model with generalized disappointment aversion preferences and continuous state endowment dynamics. We apply the framework to the term structure of interest rates and show that the model generates an upward sloping term structure of nominal interest rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005999
I decompose the variation of credit spreads for corporate bonds into changing expected returns and changing expectation of credit losses. Using a log-linearized pricing identity and a vector autoregression applied to micro-level data from 1973 to 2011, I find that expected returns contribute to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006105
We study feedback from the risk of outstanding mortgage-backed securities (MBS) on the level and volatility of interest rates. We incorporate supply shocks resulting from changes in MBS duration into a parsimonious equilibrium dynamic term structure model and derive three predictions that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007607
In this paper, I examine how financialization affects the term structure of risk premia by using an equilibrium model for commodity futures markets. I define financialization as the entry of cross-asset investors, who are exposed to a commodity risk, into a commodity market. Qualitatively, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968058