Showing 1 - 10 of 44
This paper proposes a methodology for default probability estimation for low default portfolios, where the statistical inference may become troublesome. The author suggests using logistic regression models with the Bayesian estimation of parameters. The piecewise logistic regression model and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420209
We use the concept of coarsened posteriors to provide robust Bayesian inference via coarsening in order to robustify posteriors arising from stochastic frontier models. These posteriors arise from tempered versions of the likelihood when at most a pre-specified amount of data is used, and are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611200
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530590
The article discusses the views of statistics professors Andrew Gelman and Christian P. Robert about the intemperate anti-Bayesian statement appeared on the book of probability theory by mathematician William Feller. It notes that they explore Feller's words along with similar remarks by others...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011162103
This paper proposes a methodology for default probability estimation for low default portfolios, where the statistical inference may become troublesome. The author suggests using logistic regression models with the Bayesian estimation of parameters. The piecewise logistic regression model and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011078533
We present an approach for analyzing market shares and products price elasticities based on large datasets containing aggregate sales data for many products, several markets and for relatively long time periods. We consider the recently proposed Bayesian approach of Jiang et al [Jiang, Renna,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731032
This paper investigates whether transforming the Consumer Price Index with a class of power transformations lead to an improvement of inflation forecasting accuracy. We use one of the prototypical models to forecast short run inflation which is known as the univariate time series ARIMA . This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010763657
This paper investigates whether transforming the Consumer Price Index with a class of power transformations lead to an improvement of inflation forecasting accuracy. We use one of the prototypical models to forecast short run inflation which is known as the univariate time series ARIMA . This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906075
We describe a new simulation-based algorithm for Bayesian estimation of structural effects in models where the outcome of interest and an endogenous treatment variable are ordered. Our algorithm makes use of a reparameterization, suggested by Nandram and Chen (1996) in the context of a single...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004966190
Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) provides a coherent mechanism to address the problem of model uncertainty. In this paper we extend the BMA framework to panel data models where the lagged dependent variable as well as endogenous variables appear as regressors. We propose a Limited Information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999975