This article is the first to renews the old debate of "rules versus. discretion" by introducing propensity score matching methods in macro analysis, such as Tapsoba (2012), and by using instrumental methods, to consider the national stability culture. By taking into account, at the same time,...

The European crisis has diverted migration flows away from countries affected by the recession towards Germany. The diversion process creates a challenge for traditional discrete-choice models that assume that only bilateral factors account for dyadic migration rates. This paper shows how taking...

This article is the first to renews the old debate of "rules versus. discretion" by introducing propensity score matching methods in macro analysis, such as Tapsoba (2012), and by using instrumental methods, to consider the national stability culture. By taking into account, at the same time,...

Pour limiter les contrôles intrusifs, les administrations douanières les plus modernes s'appuient sur l'analyse du risque, seul moyen efficace, compte tenu de l'accroissement du volume des opérations commerciales, pour faciliter les échanges et sécuriser leurs opérations. Les douanes des...

Macro vulnerability of the poor countries, an increasing concern of the international community, is analyzed as the risk that their development be hampered by the shocks they face, natural or external. Structural vulnerability mainly results from the size of the shocks and the exposure to the...

Following a series of debt cancellations, the public debt of many developing countries has reached low levels. These countries are being urged to extent public spending to reach The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), but can not exclusively rely on external financing. Consequently, is an...

While after a long stagnation growth seems to have come back in Africa, the issue remains to know whether the new African growth is sustainable. This paper examines to what extent African growth is vulnerable to exogeneous shocks and what are the implications for international development...

Les gouvernements des pays en développement et les intermédiaires commerciaux positionnés le long des filières agricoles d'exportation jouent un rôle déterminant dans la transmission des chocs de prix mondiaux aux producteurs. Les mécanismes d'intervention sur les prix peuvent en effet...

The aim of the note is, following the previous work of the Committee for Development Policy (CDP) (United Nations 1999, 2000, 2002, 2003, 2005, 2006) as well as my related papers and my forthcoming book on the Least Developped Countries (LDCs) (Guillaumont, 2004a, 2004b, 2006, 2007a, 2007b), to...

De 1980 à 2002, l'industrie française a perdu 1 500 000 emplois. La croissance des importations en provenance des pays émergents dans les secteurs ayant perdu le plus d'emplois suggère que les délocalisations et le commerce avec ces pays pourraient en être responsables. Dans le même...