Turkey recovered swiftly from the global financial crisis but sizeable macroeconomic imbalances arose in the process. High consumer price inflation and a wide current account deficit are sources of vulnerability. Even though below-potential growth helps rebalancing and disinflation, these...

Effective macroeconomic and structural policies helped Turkey bounce back quickly and strongly from the global crisis, with annual growth averaging close to 9% over 2010-11. However, the current account deficit widened to around 10% of GDP in 2011 and consumer price inflation rose to over 10%....

Some euro area countries accumulated large and persistent external imbalances during the upswing, revealing important weaknesses in the macroeconomic management of the monetary union. Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain ran large current account deficits by historical standards, while Finland,...

Les pays déficitaires de la zone euro n’ont généralement pas enregistré de sous-performances à l’exportation, malgré la dégradation de leur compétitivité avant la crise. L’afflux de capitaux dans les secteurs abrités de la concurrence internationale explique mieux à la fois les...

L’évolution du taux de change peut être un indicateur de déséquilibres macroéconomiques. L’estimation du taux de change d’équilibre reste toutefois un exercice difficile et plusieurs approches sont proposées par la littérature. L’application de ces méthodes aux pays de la zone...

Turkey is recovering from a severe recession. Once growth gains full speed, the authorities will likely face the challenge of widening external imbalances and of ensuring a smooth functioning of the financial markets. The former will require improving competitiveness, raising domestic saving,...