A new model for predicting the future expected cash flows from a loan is developed. It is based on a detailed analysis of the events of fulfilling, delinquency and default of each individual payment on the loan. The proposed model has significantly less uncertainty compared with the Markov chain...

This paper examines ways of overcoming inconsistencies between IFRS and modern concepts of credit risk management, namely, expected loss model and risk-adjusted loan pricing. Also, it is considered an issue of acceptable levels of concentration risk in bank credit portfolio.