During the Great Crisis, most governments in industrial countries supported their domestic financial sector under stress and responded to strong declines in output growth with fiscal stimulus packages. Starting in 2010, attention focused on the sustainability of the resulting debt burdens. We...

Country members of EMU as well as the United States have improved their fiscal positions during the course of the past decade. This article considers the impact of further government debt and deficit reductions in the EMU area. First the literature on government finance establishing the role of...

Enforcement of European fiscal rules, to a large extent, hinges on the fiscal forecasts prepared by the European Commission (EC). The reliability of these forecasts has received little attention in the literature, despite the fact that i) the forecasts have potentially far-reaching consequences...

Diese Studie untersucht die zeitvariierenden Faktoren, welche die Zinsspreads auf Europäische Staatsanleihen zwischen Q1/1999 und Q1/2010 beeinflusst haben. Vor der Finanzkrise, welche Ende 2007 ihren Anfang nahm, haben Finanzmärkte Kreditrisiken nur sehr begrenzt wahrgenommen und...

Price and output level convergence between new member states and the existing EU necessarily implies inflation and growth divergence for many years to come. That complicates the conditions for accession to the euro. In this Paper, we focus on debt dynamics for the eight new member states from...

This paper provides a study of bond yield differentials among EU eurobonds issued between 1991 and 2002. Interest differentials between bonds issued by EU countries and Germany or the USA contain risk premia which increase with the debt, deficit and debt-service ratio and depend positively on...

We study the determinants of sovereign bond yield spreads across 10 EMU countries between Q1/1999 and Q1/2010. We apply a semiparametric time-varying coefficient model to identify, to what extent an observed change in the yield spread is due to a shift in macroeconomic fundamentals or due to...

This paper provides a study of bond yield differentials among EU government bonds issued between 1993 and 2005 on the basis of a unique dataset of issue spreads in the US and DM (Euro) bond market. Interest differentials between bonds issued by EU countries and Germany or the USA contain risk...

Diese Studie untersucht die zeitvariierenden Faktoren, welche die Zinsspreads auf Europäische Staatsanleihen zwischen Q1/1999 und Q1/2010 beeinflusst haben. Vor der Finanzkrise, welche Ende 2007 ihren Anfang nahm, haben Finanzmärkte Kreditrisiken nur sehr begrenzt wahrgenommen und...