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represent nicely the two opposing forecasting philosophies. The DSGE model on the one hand has a strong theoretical economic …-horizon forecasting and structural models should be used in long-horizon forecasting. Our paper compareds both state-of-the art data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295876
represent nicely the two opposing forecasting philosophies. The DSGE model on the one hand has a strong theoretical economic …-horizon forecasting and structural models should be used in long-horizon forecasting. Our paper compareds both state-of-the art data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083198
relate to the forecasting environment (which cannot be influenced by the forecasters). Among the variables capturing the … forecasting design (which can, by contrast, be influenced by the forecasters), the size of the dataset from which factors are … unbalanced panel, whether restrictions implied by the factor structure are imposed in the forecasting equation or not and whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295831
encouraging. In a pseudo out-of-sample exercise, our approach beats relevant benchmarks for forecasting CPI inflation and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508347
the beginning of 2018. They also have performed well in forecasting the direction of inflation. In terms of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011901421
policy is not implemented in the same way and the NNAR models are better for inflation forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012939069
Macroeconomic risk assessments play an important role in the forecasts of manyinstitutions. However, to the best of our knowledge their performance has notbeen investigated yet. In this work, we study the Bank of England’s risk forecastsfor inflation. We find that these forecasts do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866177
relate to the forecasting environment (which cannot be influenced by the forecasters). Among the variables capturing the … forecasting design (which can, by contrast, be influenced by the forecasters), the size of the dataset from which factors are … unbalanced panel, whether restrictions implied by the factor structure are imposed in the forecasting equation or not and whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083176
trends in ethane and modeling the inter-annual variability, this paper aims at forecasting the atmospheric ethane burden … complicates the analysis and limits the availability of appropriate forecasting methods. In this paper, we propose five distinct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015373851
important include macroeconomic and financial time series. In this paper we are testing forecasting capacity of the time series … forecasting the number of tourist guests for the next year. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178433