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Rosenzweig, Mark; Udry, Christopher - eSocialSciences - 2013

Newly-available Indian panel data is used to estimate how the returns to planting-stage investments vary by rainfall realizations. [BREAD Working Paper No. 392]. URL:[http://ipl.econ.duke.edu/bread/papers/working/392.pdf].

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945552

House Prices and Replacement Cost: A Micro-Level Analysis

Schulz, Rainer; Werwatz, Axel - Sonderforschungsbereich Ökonomisches Risiko <Berlin> - 2007

According to housing investment models, house prices and replacement costshould have an equilibrating relationship. Previous empirical work|mainlybased on aggregate-level data|has found only little evidence of such a relationship.By using a unique data set, covering transactions of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860743

AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION OF THE FORECASTACCURACY OF PLAY-MONEY PREDICTION MARKETS ANDPROFESSIONAL BETTING MARKETS

Slamka, Christian; Luckner, Stefan; Seemann, Thomas; … - Karlsruher Institut für Technologie - 2008

Prediction markets have proven high forecasting performance in many areas such as politics, sportsand business …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005864131

How informative are macroeconomicrisk forecasts?An examination of the Bank of England’sinflation forecasts

Knüppel, Malte; Schultefrankenfeld, Guido - Deutsche Bundesbank <Frankfurt, Main> / … - 2008

Macroeconomic risk assessments play an important role in the forecasts of manyinstitutions. However, to the best of our knowledge their performance has notbeen investigated yet. In this work, we study the Bank of England’s risk forecastsfor inflation. We find that these forecasts do not...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866177

Comparing the DSGE modelwith the factor model:an out-of-sample forecasting experiment

Wang, Mu-Chun - Deutsche Bundesbank <Frankfurt, Main> / … - 2008

represent nicely the two opposing forecasting philosophies. The DSGE model on the one hand has a strong theoretical economic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866191

International asset prices : empirical evidence

Leonardo Morales-Arias - 2009

The recently witnessed financial turmoil and the current international stability context have demonstrated the need for a deeper understandingabout ex-ante international asset price fluctuations. Moreover, it is now more evident that very little is known about real estate securities and their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429017

An alternative method to produce prices received estimates.

Donaldson, W.W.; Klugh, B.F. Jr. - 1988

recommend that the Agency adopt this composite forecasting method, that uses time series analysis and current National …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429494

Management of supply chain: an alternative modelling technique for forecasting

Datta, Shoumen; Granger, C W J; Barari, M; Gibbs, T - 2007

Forecasting is a necessity almost in any operation. However, the tools of forecasting are still primitive in viewof the … data. This paper proposes some modifications to adaptan advanced forecasting technique (GARCH) with the aim to develop it …The tools of forecasting (software) in general business use are still primitive in view of the strides made by research …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433267

Prediction Markets versus Alternative Methods. Empirical Tests of Accuracy and Acceptability

Graefe, Andreas - 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009434635

The Relatve Influence of Advice from Human Experts and Statistical Methods on Forecast Adjustments

Önkal, Dilek; Goodwin, Paul; Thomson, Mary E.; … - 2009

methods. This research examines, in the context of stock price forecasting, how the apparent source of the advice affects the … expert and the other that they were generated by a statistical forecasting method. The participants were then asked to adjust …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435325