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This paper is concerned with the Bayesian estimation and comparison of flexible, high dimensional multivariate time series models with time varying correlations. The model proposed and considered here combines features of the classical factor model with that of the heavy tailed univariate...
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forecasting. The model generalises to unobserved component models where Gaussian shocks are replaced by martingale difference …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010823426
inflation forecasting.  The model generalises to unobserved component models where Gaussian shocks are replaced by martingale …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004138
This paper studies whether the out-of-sample forecasting performance of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086967
In this paper, we study the evolution of inflation expectations for two key emerging economies, Brazil and Turkey, using a reduced form model in a state-space framework, where the level of inflation is modeled explicitly. We match the survey-based inflation expectations and inflation targets set...
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