the next draw as a forecast. We find that most of the forecasters report point predictions that are close to one of the …

(1994) argues that persistent on-converging sequences of rates of participation with permanent forecasting errors occur due … to the non-existence of a prediction model for agents to forecast the attendance appropriately to induce stable rational …

The purpose of this paper is to provide an insight into the modelling and forecasting of unknown events or shocks that … econometric forecasting has been recently confirmed by the pandemic and other events that have affected the world economy and …-ante predictions which fill the gap in the ex-ante forecasting literature. The study of previous events is relevant for research …

This dissertation consists of three essays that have a common focus on the econometrics of survey expectations data … survey expectations data in forecasting. …

econometrics and opened new possibilities to study complex economic and financial phenomena. Applications include risk measurement …, forecasting, assessment of policy effectiveness in macro, finance, marketing and monetary economics. …