Summary The Ukraine conflict is having serious consequences not only for Russia and Ukraine, but it also potentially threatens to damage the still frail economic recovery in Europe. In Ukraine, which is the main victim of the conflict, the economy may decline by up to 8% this year. In Russia,...

The present economic crisis bears all the familiar hallmarks of the financial, debt-related and structural aspects of current account crises. All these aspects have lasting level effects and recovery can be very protracted. Export-led growth was an important feature of the recovery period...

Summary Continued weak external demand and uncertain recovery of investments will allow for only modest growth prospects for the countries of Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE) this year. Slovenia, Croatia and the Czech Republic will remain in recession. Russia, Ukraine and the Baltic...

Graph of the month Dependence of selected European countries on gas imports from Russia, 2012, in % (p. 1) Some lesser known facts about Ukraine’s foreign trade (by Peter Havlik; pp. 2-5) Opinion corner Russia and Ukraine – three questions, nine answers (by Vasily Astrov, Vladimir Gligorov...

Graph of the month Foreign trade of the automotive industry in the NMS-7 Sources of economic growth in CEE countries before and after the crisis domestic effects and the importance of spillovers from Germany (by Roman Römisch) German firms drive innovation in Europe and around the globe (by...

Graph of the month Share of foreign value added in the exports of selected countries Opinion corner What might be the economic consequences of a potential territorial break-up of Ukraine? (by Vasily Astrov) Trade integration, vertical specialisation and employment growth in the new Member States...

Please help us to improve the Statistical Annex by filling in the survey. Graph of the month Ukraine and Russia shares in exports and imports of selected countries, 2013, in % (p. 1) Opinion corner How realistic is the construction of the South Stream pipeline in the present circumstances? (by...

Summary Despite near stagnation in the euro area and the negative impact of the Ukraine crisis, in most of the NMS economies and some of the Western Balkan countries growth prospects are viewed as positive. While the NMS economies will preserve their positive growth differential vis-à-vis the...

The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) expects GDP in Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE) to pick up speed and grow on average by 2-3% over the forecast period 2014-2016 a major driving force rooted in an upward reversal of public and private investment. The...

The report analyses recent economic developments and short- and medium-term prospects of the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, Southeast Europe including Turkey, as well as Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine and China. Separate chapters present an overview of developments in the European Union's...