Showing 1 - 10 of 18
indicators for forecasting quarterly Chinese GDP growth. We iterate the evaluation over forecast horizons from 370 days to 1 day … 2009. Industrial production can be quite valuable for now- or even forecasting, but only if it is released shortly after … manufacturing purchasing managers' index of the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics help much for now- or forecasting. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420559
This paper presents a MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR forecasting model. First, we propose a general and compact mixed … pseudo out-of-sample forecasting exercise with US real-time data yields that the mixed frequency VAR substantially improves …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307783
GDP forecasters face tough choices over which leading indicators to follow and which forecasting models to use. To help …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011969268
This paper tests the usefulness of time-varying parameters when forecasting with mixed-frequency data. For this we …. An out-of-sample forecasting exercise with US real-time data shows that the use of time-varying parameters does not … forecasting with bridge equations due to the ability of time-varying parameters to incorporate gradual structural changes faster. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705733
The development of models for variables sampled at different frequencies has attracted substantial interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we provide an overview of the most common techniques, including bridge equations, MIxed DAta Sampling (MIDAS) models, mixed frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143818
This paper presents a MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR forecasting model. First, we propose a general and compact mixed …-of-sample forecasting exercise with US real-time data yields that the mixed frequency VAR substantially improves predictive accuracy upon a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268409
This paper shows how and when it is possible to obtain a mapping from a quarterly DSGE model to amonthly specification thatmaintains the same economic restrictions and has real coefficients. We use this technique to derive the monthly counterpart of the Gali et al (2011) model. We then augment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126615
This paper shows how and when it is possible to obtain a mapping from a quarterly DSGE model to a monthly specification that maintains the same economic restrictions and has real coefficients. We use this technique to derive the monthly counterpart of the Gali et al (2011) model. We then augment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185832
This paper shows how and when it is possible to obtain a mapping from a quarterly dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to a monthly specification that maintains the same economic restrictions and has real coefficients. We use this technique to derive the monthly counterpart of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011070877
indicators for forecasting quarterly Chinese GDP growth. We iterate the evaluation over forecast horizons from 370 days to 1 day … 2009. Industrial production can be quite valuable for now- or even forecasting, but only if it is released shortly after … manufacturing purchasing managers' index of the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics help much for now- or forecasting. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011146147