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incentive constraints on the policy making process, such as lack of credibility, political opportunism, political ideology, and …: it covers credibility issues, political business cycles, and optimal design of monetary institutions. Part II deals with … fiscal policy in a dynamic general equilibrium set up: the main topics here are credibility of tax policy, and political …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024218
This paper first shows that the forecast error incurred when assuming that future inflation will be equal to the inflation target announced by the central bank is typically at least as small and often smaller than forecast errors of model-based and published inflation forecasts. It then shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604610
model, we argue that the real effects of the Volcker disinflation were mainly due to its imperfect credibility. In our view … key indicators of its imperfect credibility. Studying transcripts of the Federal Open Market Committee recently released … rates as indicative of inflation expectations and of the credibility of their disinflationary policy. Drawing from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136793
credibility. We discuss some factors affecting the transversality condition and show that what is important to satisfy the … condition and thus to maintain central bank credibility is not capital alone but the financial strength that generates no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010632970
It has been argued that delegation of monetary policy to an independent central bank, which acts as an agent for the government, does not mitigate the problem of time-inconsistency, but merely relocates it. We argue here that this is not so, and that delegation enables a wider class of economies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656362
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706794
This paper investigates the relevance of the No-Ponzi game condition for public debt (i.e. the public debt growth rate has to be lower than the real interest rate, a necessary assumption for Ricardian equivalence) and of the transversality condition for the GDP growth rate (i.e. the GDP growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311966
The objective of this paper was to analyse the relationship between inflation and economic growth in Burundi and to determine whether there is an inflation threshold or not to allow monetary authority to adopt the optimal policies to deal with shocks. With annual data from 1990 to 2020, the ARDL...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500848
This paper introduces ECB-(RE)BASE as the model-consistent, or rational expectation version of the ECB-BASE model. It brings new analytical capabilities to consider varying degrees of heterogeneity in expectation formation across the agents of the model. While the original version of ECB-BASE...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015159580
No one seems to be neutral about the effects of EMU on the German economy. Roughly speaking, there are two camps: those who see the euro as the advent of a newly open, large, and efficient regime which will lead to improvements in European and in particular in German competitiveness; those who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009768851