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Unemployment in Britain has fallen from high European-style levels to US levels. I argue that the key reasons are first … an institutional change that reduced inflationary expectations in the face of falling unemployment. The decline of trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010928626
Unemployment in Britain has fallen from high European-style levels to US levels. I argue that the key reasons are first … an institutional change that reduced inflationary expectations in the face of falling unemployment. The decline of trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005151008
create a vicious circle of depreciation and rising domestic prices, and about the roles played by the natural unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011294097
unemployment rate and money growth in influencing economic outcomes are also discussed. Today's standard theoretical approach to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269144
lose skill and are expensive to retrain, generating multiple steady state unemployment rates. Large temporary shocks push …, reducing hiring and catapulting the economy toward the high-unemployment steady state. Even after a short-lived liquidity trap …, the economy recovers slowly at best; at worst, it falls into a permanent unemployment trap. Because monetary policy may be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754395
This paper studies the determinants of business cycles in small open economies and adds to the discussion about the changing nature of inflation dynamics. We estimate a series of VAR models for a set of six Asian emerging market economies, in which we identify a battery of domestic and global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964249
This paper first shows that the forecast error incurred when assuming that future inflation will be equal to the inflation target announced by the central bank is typically at least as small and often smaller than forecast errors of model-based and published inflation forecasts. It then shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604610
lose skill and are expensive to retrain, generating multiple steady state unemployment rates. Large temporary shocks push …, reducing hiring and catapulting the economy toward the high-unemployment steady state. Even after a short-lived liquidity trap …, the economy recovers slowly at best; at worst, it falls into a permanent unemployment trap. Because monetary policy may be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942776
to be cut, workers stronger bargaining position requires higher unemployment in equilibrium. However, inflation is more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398859
We outline the case for credit frictions and a demand side aspect to labor market fluctuations. To illustrate the above proposition, we present a simple framework to analyze the joint dependence between a labor search problem in the labor market and a costly state verification problem in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387314