This Discussion Paper aims to carry out an X-ray of federal public spending between 2001 and 2015 and in addition, a preliminary analysis of the fiscal adjustment in progress, identifying what were the expenditure groups and programs/actions hardest hit. The analytical work is based on a model...

The aim of the study is to assess fiscal sustainability in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland and to test for existence of fiscal dominance in these countries in the context of the fiscal theory of the price level. The empirical study is conducted using unit root tests and cointegration...

In this paper I use Ghosh et al. (2013) approach to assess Brazil's fiscal sustainability, fiscal fatigue, and public debt limit. Using monthly data for the last 21 years, I estimate Brazil's fiscal reaction function and an eventual fiscal fatigue effect, which is a lack of government's will (or...

This Discussion Paper presents an overview of Brazilian public finances through a meticulous work of adjusting and consolidating fiscal statistics, in which central government data were adjusted to deal with creative accounting and subsequently consolidated with data from subnational...

This study analyzes the correlation between the primary budget balance and the public debt over the last two decades, for a panel of 12 countries from Central and Eastern Europe, in order to assess their debt sustainability, the level of debt at which fiscal fatigue may occur, as well as the...

With this paper, our objective is to empirically study public debt sustainability by estimating a fiscal reaction function where the primary balance relative to GDP is assumed to be a function of the public debt to GDP ratio of the previous year and of other macroeconomic variables. In...