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The concept of Rationalizability has been used in the last fifteen years to study stability of equilibria on models with continuum of players such as standard competitive markets, macroeconomic dynamics and currency attacks. However, Rationalizability has been formally defined in a general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010739044
We consider an economic model that features: 1. a continuum of agents 2. an aggregate state of the world over which agents have an infinitesimal influence. We first propose a review, based on work by Jara (2007), of the connections between the eductive viewpoint that puts emphasis on Strongly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738797
We consider an economic model that features : 1. a continuum of agents 2. an aggregate state of the world over which agents have an infinitesimal influence. We first review the connections between the eductive viewpoint that puts emphasis for example on strongly rational expectations equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010739080
We derive the optimal monetary policy in a sticky price model when private agents follow adaptive learning. We show that this slight departure from rationality has important implications for policy design. The central bank faces a new intertemporal trade-off, not present under rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271452
We derive the optimal monetary policy in a sticky price model when private agents follow adaptive learning. We show that this slight departure from rationality has important implications for policy design. The central bank faces a new intertemporal trade-off, not present under rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143742
I introduce Expectational Business Cycles where aggregate activity fluctuates due to learning, heterogeneous updating rules and random changes in the social norm predictor.Agents use one of two updating rules to learn the equilibrium values while heterogeneity is dictated via an evolutionary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147918
We introduce the concept of a Misspecification Equilibrium to dynamic macroeconomics. Agents choose between a list of misspecified econometric models and base their selection on relative forecast performance. A Misspecification Equilibrium is an equilibrium stochastic process in which agents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464110
This paper identifies two channels through which the economy can generate endogenous inflation and output volatility, an empirical regularity, by introducing model uncertainty into a Lucas-type monetary model. The equilibrium path of inflation depends on agents' expectations and a vector of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464125
Abstract: This paper models expectation formation by taking into account that agents produce heterogeneous expectations due to model uncertainty, informational frictions and different capacities for processing information. We show that there are two general classes of steady states within this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011092167
I introduce Expectational Business Cycles where aggregate activity fluctuates due to learning, heterogeneous updating rules and random changes in the social norm predictor. Agents use one of two updating rules to learn the equilibrium values while heterogeneity is dictated via an evolutionary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771132