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Catching a floating treasure: A genuine ex-ante forecasting experiment in real time
Müller, Christian; Köberl, Eva Maria - 2012
Forecasting real economic activity poses a considerable challenge not only due to hard-to-predict events like the … first publication. In this paper we report the results of a genuine ex-ante forecasting experiment in real time. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319707
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Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2015
business-cycle state in the target year with quarterly information about its state in the forecasting period, we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487892
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Systematic Errors in Growth Expectations over the Business Cycle
Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2015
business-cycle state in the target year with quarterly information about its state in the forecasting period, we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208173
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Analysis of forecast errors in micro-level survey data
Paloviita, Maritta; Viren, Matti - Suomen Pankki - 2014
time of forecasting, are useful in assessing future forecast errors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818991
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On the economic determinants of optimal stock-bond portfolios: International evidence
Conrad, Christian; Stürmer, Karin - 2017
Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by inflation and interest rate expectations as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853171
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Catching a floating treasure: A genuine ex-ante forecasting experiment in real time
Müller, Christian; Köberl, Eva - KOF Swiss Economic Institute, Department of Management, … - 2012
Forecasting real economic activity poses a considerable challenge not only due to hard-to-predict events like the … first publication. In this paper we report the results of a genuine ex-ante forecasting experiment in real time. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010612935
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Does real-time macroeconomic information help to predict interest rates?
Caruso, Alberto; Coroneo, Laura - In: Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 55 (2023) 8, pp. 2027-2059
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436133
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Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2015
business-cycle state in the target year with quarterly information about its state in the forecasting period, we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869
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The role of demographic and psychological differences in future financial and economic expectations
Qadan, Mahmoud; Ben-Zion, Uri - In: International journal of economics and finance 6 (2014) 12, pp. 37-45
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460884
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A note on the directional accuracy of interest-rate forecasts
Pierdzioch, Christian - In: Applied economics letters 22 (2015) 13/15, pp. 1073-1077
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312202