Showing 1 - 10 of 24
I propose two simple variable addition test statistics for three tests of the specification of high-frequency predictors in a model to forecast a series observed at a lower frequency. The first is similar to existing test statistics and I show that it is robust to biased forecasts, integrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933600
In this paper, starting from continuous-time local level unobserved components models for stock and flow data we derive locally best invariant (LBI) stationarity tests for data available at potentially irregularly spaced points in time. We demonstrate that the form of the LBI test differs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702691
applied to temporally aggregated GARCH models. Since these are known to be only weak GARCH, the conditional variance of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837845
applied to temporally aggregated GARCH models. Since these are known to be only weak GARCH, the conditional variance of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005043585
We examine the effects of mixed sampling frequencies and temporal aggregation on standard tests for cointegration. We find that the effects of aggregation on the size of the tests may be severe. Matching sampling schemes of all series generally reduces size, and the nominal size is obtained when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084358
We examine the effects of mixed sampling frequencies and temporal aggregation on standard tests for cointegration. While it is well known that aggregation and sampling frequency do not affect the long-run properties of time series, we find that the effects of aggregation on the size of commonly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933596
This paper proposes mixed-frequency distributed-lag (MFDL) estimators of impulse response functions (IRFs) in a setup where (i) the shock of interest is observed, (ii) the impact variable of interest is observed at a lower frequency (as a temporally aggregated or sequentially sampled variable),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142151
representation of a time series naturally induces a persistence-based variance decomposition of any weakly stationary process. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215416
Aggregated times series variables can be forecasted in different ways. For example, they may be forecasted on the basis of the aggregate series or forecasts of disaggregated variables may be obtained first and then these forecasts may be aggregated. A number of forecasts are presented and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980231
In this paper we explore the theoretical and empirical problems of estimating average (excess) return and risk of US equities over various holding periods and sample periods. Our findings are relevant for performance evaluation, for estimating the historical equity risk premium, and for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731517