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with this hypothesis, we show that a one-standard-deviation increase in aggregate uncertainty amplifies the predictive … ability of sentiment for market returns by two to four times relative to when uncertainty is at its mean. We find similar … sensitive to sentiment and for anomaly returns is substantially larger in times of higher uncertainty. The results hold for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216707
This paper derives an adjusted Black-Scholes pricing formula. In separating risk and uncertainty using the robust … control technique, we find that both uncertainty and risk raise management’s subjective evaluation of real options. We suggest … influence of uncertainty. In addition, we propose that an investment opportunity may be postponed inappropriately, as under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260880
orchard with heterogeneous beliefs, stochastic macro-economic uncertainty, and default risk. I study two manifestations of … uncertainty, namely (i) agents’ disagreement and (ii) time-varying volatility of fundamental growth rates. The paper shows that … moments of the risk premium distribution. Together with uncertainty, default risk associated with levered trees implies a non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745732
We discover a novel monetary policy shock that has a widespread impact on aggregate financial conditions. Our shock can be summarized by the response of long-horizon yields to Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements; not only is it orthogonal to changes in the near-term path of policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446542
expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of …. Uncertainty, in contrast, increases the response. We rationalize our findings in a model of imperfect information. In the model … content of indicators, while higher fundamental uncertainty makes this informational content more valuable. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of …. Uncertainty, in contrast, increases the response. We rationalize our findings in a model of imperfect information. In the model … content of indicators, while higher fundamental uncertainty makes this informational content more valuable. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404647
expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of …. Uncertainty, in contrast, increases the response. We rationalize our findings in a model of imperfect information. In the model … content of indicators, while higher fundamental uncertainty makes this informational content more valuable. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012423131
expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of …. Uncertainty, in contrast, increases the response. We rationalize our findings in a model of imperfect information. In the model … content of indicators, while higher fundamental uncertainty makes this informational content more valuable. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012492947
We discover a novel monetary policy shock that has a widespread impact on aggregate financial conditions. Our shock can be summarized by the response of long-horizon yields to Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements; not only is it orthogonal to changes in the near-term path of policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538003
(“uncertainty”), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases both risk aversion and uncertainty, with the former effect being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605610