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In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose German real GDP into the trend, cycle and … declined from 4.2 per cent in the sixties to 1.4 per cent at the end of the nineties of the last century. 2) The business cycle …
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integration impacts positively on business cycle comovements of economies. We consider three Western equity markets, represented … high frequencies have become less pronounced; (ii) the European markets are in phase at business cycle frequency, while the … findings of traditional business cycle research, and it has the advantage of using only readily available stock market data. …
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This paper proposes a new filter technique to separate trend and cycle based on stylised economic properties of trend … and cycle, rather than relying on ad hoc statistical proper-ties such as frequency. Given the theoretical separation … between economic growth and business cycle literature, it is necessary to make the measures of trend and cycle match what the …
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It is widely understood that the real price of globally traded commodities is determined by the forces of demand and supply. One of the main determinants of the real price of commodities is shifts in the demand for commodities associated with unexpected fluctuations in global real economic...
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The paper sets out a monetary business cycle model with three alternative exchange technologies, the cash … puzzles of the monetary business cycle theory. The credit model improves the ability to explain the procyclic movement of …
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