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In der aktuellen Debatte über die Target2-Salden im Eurosystem wurde zu deren Abbau das Ausgleichsverfahren der Federal Reserve in den USA vorgeschlagen. Der dortige Ausgleichsmechanismus ist jedoch rein bilanzieller Natur und führt lediglich zu einer Neuaufteilung der Aktivseite des...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368503
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368618
Experience after the establishment of EMU shows that the behaviour of private consumers differs considerably among member countries and that average and marginal propensities to consume are fairly heterogeneous. In particular, there are clear differences between Germany and the rest of the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010369099
Dieser Beitrag diskutiert die Grundlagen des P*-Ansatzes und vergleicht seine Prognoseleistung mit derjenigen nicht-monetärer Inflationsindikatoren für den Euro-Raum. Die Relevanz der Quantitätstheorie, die Stabilität der Geldnachfrage und die Rolle von Geldmengen im Transmissionsmechanismus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377457
This paper addresses the issues of identification and dating of the Euro-zone business cycle by using the Markov … growth in the Euro-zone are identified by fitting Markov-switching models to aggregated and single-country Euro-zone real GDP … the smoothed regime probabilities from the Markov-switching models the Euro-zone business cycle is dated and recessions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377542
In this paper, we investigate the impact of the adjustment for seasonal effects with different seasonal adjustment methods, the possible pre-treatment for calendar effects and the different order of aggregation and adjustment for the determination of the turning points of the European business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377544
Most of the Euro-zone economic short-term indicators are computed through aggregation from Member States data. The … given in the paper. An application to the Euro-zone GDP is presented. The same aggregation problem encountered in the case … widely used in the literature, we extracted the cycle indicator for the Euro-zone employing the Baxter-King filter to data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377546
One major shortcoming in Euroland's National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) consists in the missing distinction between exports (imports) on the one hand and dispatches (arrivals) between the member states on the other hand. In this paper "true" NIPA trade is derived from official figures....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377547
We examine the indicator property of the monetary indicator for inflation. Using a P*-model, Svensson (2000) shows theoretically that the relationship between these two variables is rather tenuous. The present study employs empirical evidence on the relations in his model to quantify its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377548
turning points in the Euro-zone using the Neftçi's approach. The output is a probability index for a forthcoming economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377550