We use a unique sample of self-employed and corporate clients provided by a universal bank in Germany to investigate how recall risk of recallable bank lines of credit impact cash holdings and line usage. While the bank does not require an upfront fee for providing a line of credit, which may...

I investigate how banks manage liquidity as specified in the German prudential liquidity regulation, which combines a stock and cash-flow mapping approach. To do so, I use dynamic panel data regressions, take into account that payment obligations are endogenous and test whether banks whose...

This research applies data from the Livingston survey to study the time variation in the sentiment of U.S. stock-market forecasters. A Panel Smooth Transition Regression (STR) model is estimated to identify the importance of market conditions summarized by stock-market misalignments and recent...

We analyzed the links between international equity flows and speculative bubbles in the equity markets of six South-East Asian countries over the period 1991-2006. Based on a cointegration analysis, we found signi?cant equilibrium cointegration links between international equity flows and...

We study the loss function of 15 European governments as implied by their budget balance forecasts. Results suggest that the shape of the loss function varies across countries. The loss function becomes more asymmetric as the forecast horizon increases and in advance of parliamentary election....

Economic theory predicts that, in a small open economy, the dynamics of the real price of gold should be linked to real interest rates and the rate of change of the real exchange rate. Using data for Australia, we use a real-time forecasting approach to analyze whether real interest rates and...

Text 4. In diesem Buch wird die aktuelle Problematik der weltweit niedrigen Leitzinsen aufgegriffen und das auf John M. Keynes zurückgehende Konzept der Liquiditätsfalle in die moderne Makroökonomik übertragen. In drei einfachen dynamischen Modellen wird untersucht, ob die Liquiditätsfalle...