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Incorporating arbitrage-free term-structure dynamics into a semi-structural macro-model, we jointly estimate the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation, and term premia for the United States and the euro area, using a Bayesian approach. The natural real rate and trend inflation are...
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We trace the impact of the European Central Bank (ECB) asset purchase programme (APP) on the yield curve. Exploiting granular information on sectoral asset holdings and ECB asset purchases, we construct a novel measure of the "free-float of duration risk" borne by pricesensitive investors. We...
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hundred bonds from six largest euro area sovereign bond markets. The created variables were used in a cross …-sectional regression model. The results revealed that characteristics of sovereign bonds are indeed highly linked with bond liquidity …
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nominal government bond yields and the stock price dynamics of six major economies from 1988 until 2019. We calibrate the …-year government bond yields allows one to generate articifical time series of bond yields and price-consumption ratios that follow the …
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When a conflict breaks out, warring states' bond prices generally experience sharp declines. As military defeat may … reveals the important role played by Rothschild, the underwriter. When the bond was first issued, Rothschild signalled that … should a war break out the bond would be repaid. Once the war became reality, Rothschild was instrumental in making sure …
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