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In this dissertation three different economic issues have been analyzed. The firstissue is whether monetary policy rules can improve forecasting accuracy of inflation.The second is whether the preference of a central bank is symmetry or not. The last issueis whether the behavior of aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009465152
This dissertation consists of two essays on predictability of asset prices. "Benchmarkingproblems and long horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009468641
The purpose of this diploma paper is to choose the most suitable methods and models of stock market predictability … after the evaluation of the peculiarities of Lithuanian’s and perform the research of stock price predictability. This … predictability are analysed in the first chapter of this work. The methodology of predictability research of Lithuanian’s stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009478732
The research presented in this thesis addresses different aspects of dynamic portfolio construction and portfolio risk measurement. It brings the research on dynamic portfolio optimization, replicating portfolio construction, dynamic portfolio risk measurement and volatility forecast together....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440952
This dissertation contains three applications of time series in finance and macroeconomics. The first essay compares the cumulative returns for stocks and bonds atinvestment horizons from one to ten years by using a test for spatial dominance.Spatial dominance is a variation of stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009464998
The present dissertation consists of three stand-alone research papers that all deal with factor models from a Bayesian perspective, both in a theoretical and an empirical setup. More precisely, the thesis is organized in a progressive way as follows: Chapter 1 briefly presents the general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471699
Bayesian nonparametric methods are useful for modeling data without having to define the complexity of the entire model a priori, but rather allowing for this complexity to be determined by the data. Two problems considered in this dissertation are the number of components in a mixture model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475409
This work contains three papers employing common factor methodologies to economic forecasting for Estonia. The methods employed are State-space modelling with Kalman filtering, static principal components and dynamic principal components. The last paper also investigates Inflation dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009449682
Die vorliegende Dissertation befasst sich mit probabilistischen Prognosen, die seit einigen Jahren ein aktives ökonometrisches Forschungsgebiet darstellen. Da solche Prognosen eine vollständige Verteilung für die interessierende Zufallsvariable angeben, beinhalten sie Information über...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243223
business decisions. A relatively new technique for performing valuation under uncertainty, Value at Risk (VaR), has been … developed in the financial world. VaR is a method of evaluating the probability of a gain or loss by a complex venture, by … examining the stochastic behavior of its components. We believe that combining quantitative risk assessment techniques with VaR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009464795