This working paper was written by Yuewen Tang (Hong Kong Monetary Authority) and Alfred Wong (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research).We analyse dollar funding stress experienced by advanced and emerging market economies through studying the behaviour of their cross-currency...

This paper puts forward a theory to explain the relationship among the spot exchange rate, the forward exchange rate and the interest differential between two countries in the presence of counterparty credit risk and funding liquidity risk. We argue that covered interest parity deviations...

What the market thinks is most likely to occur is not necessarily what the market expects to occur. This note explains why most of the surveys of federal funds rate outlook deviate substantially from the true market expectation, especially as the forecast horizon increases. Surveys often ask...

The emergence and persistence of basis spreads in cross-currency basis swaps (CCBS) since the global financial crisis have become a mystery in international finance, as they violate the long-standing principle of covered interest parity (CIP). We argue that the phenomenon is no mystery but...