In this note, the authors present the outcomes of two unit root tests, which allow for the existence of a break in real GDP for twelve industrial countries, using data for the period 1870-1989. The authors conclude that in the majority of the countries real per capita GDP has no unit root and...

In this paper, the stationarity of aggregate output is examined using the scaled variogram for a sample of twelve countries. It is argued that if the true data generating process of output is stationary around a deterministic trend with a change in mean and/or growth rate, the results of...

Banks play a central role in the functioning of the economy. Not only do they allocate financial resources, they also collectively create money in the process of granting loans. In this way, they have a considerable impact on the type of activities that are financed in society. During the...

Empirischer Beweis der Äquivalenzhypothese Ricardos In diesem Artikel wird der empirische Beweis der auf dem Konsumentenverhalten basierenden Äquivalenz-(oder Schuldenneutralitäts-)hypothese Ricardos überprüft. Die verschiedenen Prüfverfahren werden kritisch besprochen und die...

Nowadays, it is widely believed that greater disclosure and clarity over policy may lead to greater predictability of central bank actions. We examine whether communication by the European Central Bank (ECB) adds information compared to the information provided by a Taylor rule model in which...

This paper uses a new data set on the term in office of central bank governors in 137 countries covering the period 1970-2004 to estimate a model for the chance that a central bank governor is replaced. We formulate a number of hypotheses based on the literature on the determinants of central...

We examine the role of money in the policies of the ECB, using introductory statements of the ECB President at the monthly press conferences during 1999-2004. Over time, the relative amount of words devoted to the monetary analysis has decreased. Our analysis of indicators of the monetary policy...