This paper proposes a new time-deformation model for stock returns sampled in transaction time and directed by a generalized duration process. Stochastic volatility in this model is driven by an observed duration process and a latent autoregressive process. Parameter estimation in the model is...

This paper tests the prediction of the Permanent Income Hypothesis (PIH) that news about future income induce a revision in consumption equal to the revision in permanent income. We use time-series data from 48 contiguous US states to perform the test. The empirical results provide some support...

This paper investigates whether there are variants of the permanent income model that are consistent with seasonally unadjusted quarterly postwar Canadian data. The analysis is based on a misspecification-test equation which nests the standard permanent income model. The results obtaineda re...

This paper proposes a simple two-factor model of nominal term structure of interest rates, in which the log-price kernel has an autoregressive drift process and a nonlinear GARCH volatility process. Given these two state-variable processes, closed-form expressions are derived for the zero-coupon...

This paper extends the multiscale stochastic volatility (MSSV) models to allow for heavy tails of the marginal distribution of the asset returns and correlation between the innovation of the mean equation and the innovations of the latent factor processes. Novel algorithms of Markov Chain Monte...