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We examine the effect of inflation variability and economic growth using annual historical data on both developing and … inflation variability by the five-year coefficient of variation of inflation, we obtain the following results: (1) For … developing countries, there is significant evidence to suggest that when the rate of inflation exceeds 10% inflation variability …
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The uncertainty of U.S. core inflation, measured by the stochastic volatility of forecast errors, has soared to a level … increase after a positive shock to core inflation uncertainty in a vector autoregression. Endogenous changes in household … inflation expectations help to understand the transmission mechanism through which an inflation uncertainty shock generates …
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rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard …We use a simple New Keynesian model, with firm specific capital, non-zero steady-state inflation, long-run risks and … Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy …
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a unified framework that incorpo- rates regime switching both in shock variances and in the inflation target. We propose … the inflation target are not the main driving force of high inflation in the 1970s. The model that best fits the U.S. time …
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Apart from a priori assumptions on instantaneous or long run effects of structural shocks, sign restrictions have become a prominent means for structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) analysis. Moreover, second order heterogeneity of systems of times series can be fruitfully exploited for...
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