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This study aims first at improving volatility prediction using a machine learning model called support vector …
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forecasting the daily volatility of Bulgarian investment funds, which will support the investment community in making adequate ….1) are adapted to predict the volatility of investment funds. The current development focuses on forecasting the risk … group. The object of the study includes quantitative analysis, estimation and forecasting of daily volatility through the …
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assets. Building on this idea, we propose the use of a highly flexible and tractable model to forecast the volatility of an …
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-GARCH(1,1), CAViaR and historical simulation models in periods with contrasting volatility trends (increasing, constantly high … volatility trend. However, GARCH-st (1,1) and QML-GARCH(1,1) were found to be the most robust models in the different volatility … periods. The results show as well that the CAViaR model forecasts were less appropriate in the increasing volatility period …
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