Modeling conditional distributions in time series has attracted increasing attention in economics and finance. We develop a new class of generalized Cramer–von Mises (GCM) specification tests for time series conditional distribution models using a novel approach, which embeds the empirical...

This study employs a parametric approach based on TGARCH and GARCH models to estimate the VaR of the copper futures market and spot market in China. Considering the short selling mechanism in the futures market, the paper introduces two new notions: upside VaR and extreme upside risk spillover....

This paper gives a selective review on the recent developments of nonparametric methods in continuous-time finance, particularly in the areas of nonparametric estimation of diffusion processes, nonparametric testing of parametric diffusion models, and nonparametric pricing of derivatives. For...

This paper estimates the impact of inter-sectoral linkages on productivity at the sectoral level. An exhaustive Chinese panel data set for capital, infrastructure and a sectoral agglomeration index is linked with an economic distance matrix derived from inter-sectoral transactions. The latter...

The Markov property is a fundamental property in time series analysis and is often assumed in economic and financial modeling. We develop a new test for the Markov property using the conditional characteristic function embedded in a frequency domain approach, which checks the implication of the...

Understanding the dynamics of spot interest rates is important for derivatives pricing, risk management, interest rate liberalization, and macroeconomic control. Based on a daily data of Chinese 7-day repo rates from July 22, 1996 to August 26, 2004, we estimate and test a variety of popular...