The authors show that quasimaximum likelihood (QML) estimators for conditional dispersion models can be severely affected by a small number of outliers such as market crashes and rallies, and they propose new estimation strategies (the two-stage Hampel estimators and two-stage S-estimators)...

A new method, called Relevant Transformation of the Inputs Network Approach (RETINA) isproposed as a tool for model building. It is designed around flexibility (with nonlinear transformations of the predictors of interest), selective search within the range of possible models, out-of-sample...

Engle and Manganelli (2004) propose CAViaR, a class of models suitable for estimating conditional quantiles in dynamic settings. Engle and Manganelli apply their approach to the estimation of Value at Risk, but this is only one of many possible applications. Here we extend CAViaR models to...

The authors consider the question, "Under what conditions is the extremum of a random function over a random set itself a random object?" The answer is relevant to problems in both game theory and econometrics, as they illustrate with examples. The authors' purpose here is to bring the powerful...

We provide a family of tests for the IID hypothesis based on generalized runs, powerful against unspecified alternatives, providing a useful complement to tests designed for specific alternatives, such as serial correlation, GARCH, or structural breaks. Our tests have appealing computational...