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We present a procedure to perform seasonal adjustment over daily sales data. The model adjusts daily information from the Immediate Supply of Information System for Value Added Tax declaration forms compiled by the Spanish Tax Agency. The procedure performs signal extraction and forecasting at...
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In this study a comparative analysis of the forecasts accuracy for Spain (developed country) and Romania (developing … country) was developed for the crisis period (2009 - 2013). The providers are national forecasters: Bank of Spain and FUNCAS … (Spanish Savings Banks Foundation) for Spain and two anonymous experts for Romania (E1 and E2). Only for the unemployment rate …
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We have assessed the effect of data releases when constructing short-term point and density forecasts of the Spanish gross domestic product growth. For this purpose, we considered a real-forecasting exercise in which we defined several pseudo-data vintages that had a mixture of monthly and...
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