Similar Search Results

Does the index of consumer sentiment only measure expectations? : An empirical assessment for the Netherlands

Bolger, Fergus; Franses, Philip Hans; Antonides, Gerrit - 1999

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001412740

Judging the probability that the next point in an observed time-series will be below, or above, a given value

Bolger, Fergus - In: Journal of forecasting 14 (1995) 7, pp. 597-607

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001192925

Expert judgement of probability and risk

Wright, George; Bolger, Fergus; Rowe, Gene - In: Making essential choices with scant information : …, (pp. 213-229). 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003823055

Use of expert knowledge to anticipate the future : issues, analysis and directions

Bolger, Fergus; Wright, George - In: International journal of forecasting 33 (2017) 1, pp. 230-243

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754984

Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?

Bolger, Fergus; Stranieri, Andrew; Wright, George; … - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 78 (2011) 9, pp. 1671-1680

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428212

Improving the Delphi process : lessons from social psychological research

Bolger, Fergus; Wright, George - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 78 (2011) 9, pp. 1500-1513

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428261

Delphi with feedback of rationales : how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?

Belton, Ian; Wright, George; Sissons, Aileen; Bolger, Fergus - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 170 (2021), pp. 1-12

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805392

Introduction to the Special Issue on Judgment in Forecasting

Fildes, Robert; Bolger, Fergus; Goodwin, Paul; Harvey, Nigel - In: International journal of forecasting 41 (2025) 2, pp. 419-423

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015440402

Coherence and calibration in expert probability judgement

Bolger, F.; Wright, G - In: Omega 21 (1993) 6, pp. 629-644

Many decision-aiding technologies require valid probability judgements to be elicited from domain experts. But how valid are experts' probability judgements? It is of considerable practical importance to identify the conditions which affect the quality of these judgments. Descriptive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005333882

Coherence and Calibration in Expert Probability Judgement

Bolger, F.; Wright, G. - In: Omega : the international journal of management science 21 (1993) 6, pp. 629-644

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006807727